Ukuphendula kwiimeko ezikhethekileyo ezibangelwa kubhubhani we-coronavirus, Uphononongo lonyaka lwe-IEA lweGlobal Energy lwandise ukugubungela ukubandakanya uhlalutyo lwexesha lokwenyani lophuhliso ukuza kuthi ga ngoku ngo-2020 kunye nezalathiso ezinokubakho unyaka wonke.
Ukongeza kokuphonononga idatha ye-2019 yamandla kunye nokukhutshwa kwe-CO2 ngamafutha kunye nelizwe, kweli candelo le-Global Energy Review siye salandelela ukusetyenziswa kwamandla kwilizwe kunye nepetroli kwiinyanga ezintathu ezidlulileyo kwaye kwezinye iimeko - ezifana nombane - ngexesha langempela.Ukulandelela okunye kuya kuqhubeka ngeveki.
Ukungaqiniseki okungqonge impilo yoluntu, uqoqosho kunye nokungoko amandla kulo lonke unyaka ka-2020 akukaze kubonwe ngaphambili.Olu hlahlelo ke ngoko alubonisi kuphela indlela enokwenzeka yokusetyenziswa kwamandla kunye nokukhutshwa kwe-CO2 ngo-2020 kodwa ikwaqaqambisa izinto ezininzi ezinokukhokelela kwiziphumo ezahlukeneyo.Sifumana izifundo eziphambili malunga nendlela yokujongana nale ngxaki yakha yabakho kwinkulungwane.
Ubhubhani wangoku we-Covid-19 ungaphezulu kwayo yonke ingxaki yezempilo yehlabathi.Ukusukela nge-28 ka-Epreli, bekukho izigidi ezi-3 zamatyala aqinisekisiweyo kwaye ngaphezulu kwe-200 000 yokusweleka ngenxa yesi sifo.Njengesiphumo seenzame zokucothisa ukusasazeka kwale ntsholongwane, isabelo sokusetyenziswa kwamandla esiye savezwa kumanyathelo okuqulatha siye satsiba ukusuka kwi-5% phakathi kuMatshi ukuya kuma-50 ekhulwini ku-Epreli.Amazwe aliqela aseYurophu kunye ne-United States abhengeze ukuba alindele ukuphinda avule iindawo zoqoqosho ngoMeyi, ke u-Epreli inokuba yeyona nyanga inzima.
Ngaphandle kwempembelelo ekhawulezileyo kwimpilo, ingxaki yangoku ineempembelelo ezinkulu kuqoqosho lwehlabathi, ukusetyenziswa kwamandla kunye nokukhutshwa kwe-CO2.Uhlalutyo lwethu lwedatha yemihla ngemihla ukuya phakathi ku-Epreli lubonisa ukuba amazwe avaleleke ngokupheleleyo afumana i-avareji ye-25% yokwehla kwemfuno yamandla ngeveki kwaye amazwe avale i-avareji eyi-18%.Idatha yemihla ngemihla eqokelelwe kumazwe angama-30 kude kube nge-14 ku-Epreli, emele ngaphezulu kwesibini kwisithathu semfuno yamandla ehlabathi, ibonisa ukuba imfuno yokudakumba ixhomekeke kubude bexesha kunye nokuqina kokuvalwa.
Imfuno yamandla ehlabathi yehle nge-3.8% kwikota yokuqala ka-2020, uninzi lweempembelelo ezivakalisiweyo ngoMatshi njengoko amanyathelo okuvalelwa ayenyanzeliswa eYurophu, eMntla Melika nakwezinye iindawo.
- Imfuno yamalahle yehlabathi ibe yinto enzima kakhulu, yehla phantse i-8% xa kuthelekiswa nekota yokuqala ka-2019.I-China - uqoqosho olusekwe ngamalahle - lelona lizwe lithwaxwa kakhulu yi-Covid-19 kwikota yokuqala;irhasi efikelelekayo kunye nokukhula okuqhubekayo kwezinto ezivuselelwayo kwezinye iindawo kuye kwacela umngeni kumalahle;kunye nemozulu epholileyo kunye nokusetyenziswa kwamalahle.
- Imfuno ye-oyile nayo yabethwa ngamandla, ezantsi phantse nge-5% kwikota yokuqala, ubukhulu becala kukucutheka kokushukumiseka nokuhamba ngenqwelomoya, okubangela phantse i-60% yemfuno yeoli yehlabathi.Ekupheleni kweyoKwindla, umsebenzi wezothutho ezindleleni kwihlabathi jikelele ubuphantse ube ngama-50% ngaphantsi komndilili wowama-2019 kunye nokuhamba ngeenqwelomoya ngama-60% ngaphantsi.
- Impembelelo yobhubhane kwimfuno yegesi ibiphakathi, malunga ne-2%, njengoko uqoqosho olusekwe kwirhasi aluchaphazelekanga kakhulu kwikota yokuqala ka-2020.
- Izinto ezihlaziyiweyo kuphela komthombo othumele ukukhula kwemfuno, eqhutywa ngumthamo omkhulu ofakiweyo kunye nokuthunyelwa okuphambili.
- Ibango lombane lincitshiswe kakhulu ngenxa yamanyathelo okutshixa, okuneziphumo eziphazamisayo kumxube wamandla.Ibango lombane licinezelwe ngama-20% okanye ngaphezulu ngexesha lokuvalwa ngokupheleleyo kumazwe aliqela, njengoko izithintelo zemfuno yeendawo zokuhlala zoyiswe kakhulu kukucutheka kwemisebenzi yorhwebo nemizi-mveliso.Kangangeeveki, ubume bemfuno bufana naleyo yeCawa ende.Ukuncitshiswa kweemfuno kuye kwaphakamisa isabelo sohlaziyo kubonelelo lombane, njengoko imveliso yabo ingachaphazeleki kakhulu yimfuno.Ibango lehle kuyo yonke eminye imithombo yombane, kubandakanywa amalahle, igesi kunye namandla enyukliya.
Xa sijonga unyaka opheleleyo, sijonga imeko elinganisa iimpembelelo zamandla zokudodobala koqoqosho okuxhaphakileyo okubangelwa zizithintelo zeenyanga ezinde zokushukumiseka kunye nemisebenzi yentlalo kunye nezoqoqosho.Kule meko, ukuchacha kubunzulu bokudodobala koqoqosho lwe-lockdown kuhamba kancinci kwaye kukhatshwa yilahleko enkulu esisigxina kwimisebenzi yezoqoqosho, ngaphandle kweenzame zomgaqo-nkqubo woqoqosho olukhulu.
Isiphumo semeko elolo hlobo kukuba imfuno yemvumelwano yemfuno yamandla nge-6%, elona likhulu kwiminyaka engama-70 ngokwepesenti kwaye lelona likhulu kwezakha zakho ngokwemiqathango.Impembelelo ye-Covid-19 kwimfuno yamandla ngo-2020 inokuba ngaphezulu ngokuphindwe kasixhenxe kunefuthe lengxaki yezemali ka-2008 kwimfuno yamandla yehlabathi.
Onke amafutha aya kuchaphazeleka:
- Imfuno ye-oyile inokwehla nge-9%, okanye i-9 mb / d ngokwe-avareji kunyaka wonke, ukubuyisela ukusetyenziswa kwe-oyile kumanqanaba e-2012.
- Imfuno yamalahle ingehla nge-8%, ubukhulu becala kuba imfuno yombane iya kuba ngaphantsi kwe-5% apha ekuhambeni konyaka.Ukufunyanwa kwakhona kwemfuno yamalahle kushishino kunye nokuveliswa kombane e-China kunokunciphisa ukwehla okukhulu kwenye indawo.
- Imfuno yerhasi inokwehla kakhulu kulo nyaka uphelayo kunakwikota yokuqala, ngokuncipha kwemfuno yamandla kunye nezicelo zeshishini.
- Imfuno yamandla enyukliya nayo ingahla ngokusabela kwimfuno ephantsi yombane.
- Imfuno yokuhlaziya kulindeleke ukuba inyuke ngenxa yeendleko zokusebenza eziphantsi kunye nokufikelela okukhethekileyo kwiinkqubo ezininzi zamandla.Ukukhula okutsha kwisikhundla, ezinye iiprojekthi ezintsha eziza kwi-Intanethi ngo-2020, nazo ziyakonyusa imveliso.
Kuqikelelo lwethu luka-2020, imfuno yombane yehlabathi ihla nge-5%, kunye nokuthotywa kwe-10% kwezinye iingingqi.Imithombo enekhabhoni ephantsi ingasodlula kude isizukulwana esibaswe ngamalahle kwihlabathi liphela, yandise ukukhokela okusekwe ngo-2019.
Ukukhutshwa kweCO2 yehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba kwehle nge-8%, okanye phantse i-2.6 gigatonnes (Gt), ukuya kumanqanaba kwiminyaka eyi-10 eyadlulayo.Oko kucuthwa konyaka nonyaka kuya kuba kokona kukhulu kwakha kwakho, kuphindwe kathandathu kunokwehliswa kwerekhodi yangaphambili ye-0.4 Gt ngo-2009 - okubangelwa yingxaki yemali yehlabathi - kwaye inkulu ngokuphindwe kabini kunetotali edityanisiweyo yako konke ukucutha kwangaphambili ukususela ekupheleni. yeMfazwe Yehlabathi II.Njengasemva kweentlekele zangaphambili, nangona kunjalo, ukuphindaphindwa kokukhutshwa kwezinto ezikhutshwayo kunokuba kukhulu kunokuncipha, ngaphandle kokuba utyalo-mali lokuqalisa ngokutsha uqoqosho lunikezelwe kwiziseko zamandla ezicocekileyo nezomelele ngakumbi.
Ixesha lokuposa: Jun-13-2020